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Two supermassive black holes set to collide will distort space and time in about 10,000 years


In a galaxy 9 billion light-years away, two enormous black holes are locked in a cosmic dance that will eventually end in a massive collision. These supermassive black holes, each hundreds of millions of times the mass of our sun, are currently orbiting one another. In about 10,000 years, they will merge in a violent event, unleashing enough force to distort space and time by creating gravitational waves—ripples in the universe’s fabric.

The two black holes, though incredibly large, are relatively close to each other, separated by only about 50 times the distance between Earth and Pluto. To put that into perspective, even a black hole half the size of a golf ball would have the same mass as Earth.

This remarkable system, recently published in The Astrophysical Journal Letters, is only the second known candidate for a supermassive black hole merger. The discovery of these colossal black holes and their impending collision is not just a spectacle; it represents a key step forward in our understanding of gravitational waves and the nature of the universe.

The road to discovering this extraordinary binary black hole system began in 2008 when Tony Read head, an astronomer from the California Institute of Technology, and his team started observing galaxies with active black holes at their centers. They specifically focused on finding quasars, which are black holes that emit powerful jets of energy. These jets, traveling at nearly the speed of light, release enormous amounts of light.

One specific quasar, dubbed PKS 2131-021, caught the team’s attention. Its jet displayed a unique pattern of light variation known as a sinusoidal wave, a series of peaks and valleys similar to the ripples created when a stone is dropped into water. Upon further investigation, Readhead and his team traced this pattern back to 1981 using data from the National Radio Astronomy’s Very Long Baseline Array. However, the pattern’s inconsistency made it difficult to confirm the black hole’s behavior.

That all changed in 2021 when undergraduate student Sandra O’Neill reanalyzed the data and found that the sinusoidal pattern actually stretched back to the 1970s with even greater consistency. This discovery allowed the team to conclude that the unusual light pattern was caused by the movement of two black holes orbiting each other, with one of them producing the fluctuating jet.

This binary black hole system offers a unique opportunity to study gravitational waves. First predicted by Albert Einstein over a century ago, gravitational waves were considered almost impossible to detect until 2016, when scientists at LIGO (Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory) detected them for the first time. These ripples in space-time were created by the collision of two smaller black holes, proving Einstein’s theory that space-time can indeed be warped by gravitational forces.

However, LIGO can only detect waves from smaller black holes, around the size of a few dozen suns. To detect waves produced by supermassive black holes like the ones in PKS 2131-021, scientists rely on patterns like the sinusoidal light waves created by their jets. These discoveries could open new avenues for understanding the nature of space-time and the gravitational forces that shape the universe.

As Read head describes, this journey of discovery is much like a “good detective novel.” The saga of these two black holes will continue to unfold over the next 10,000 years, offering astronomers a front-row seat to one of the universe’s most powerful and awe-inspiring events.

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